← All companies ← CCK Manual CCNE → Cruise Lines LIND →
CCL, Carnival Corp.
Carnival sells leisure vacations at sea. It owns and operates a fleet of cruise ships under a group of brands, filling the cabins with travelers — most from North America, the rest largely from Europe — who pay a fare to sail and then spend more once aboard, on drinks, shore excursions, casinos and the like. The money comes from ticket sales and that onboard spending; the cost of building, fueling and crewing the ships stands against it.
During 2025, we sunset the P&O Cruises (Australia) brand and folded its Australia operations into Carnival Cruise Line.
There will be no material changes to the company's business fundamentals, including strategy, underlying assets and operations or to the company's commitment to the vital UK market.
The business
What it sells, where the money comes from, the kind of company it is.
Next report Est. 9/23–9/30 · the 10-Q for the quarter ended late August · due within 40 days of period end · has filed ~27 days after · the wire records it on arrival
The business in brief
read the 10-K →What this business is and what moves its needle, from its own SEC filings.
- What it is
- Revenue is North America (66%), Europe (32%) and Cruise (1%).
- Situation
- Cyclical. Margins collapse and recover repeatedly across the record; a single year, good or bad, misstates the through-cycle earning power.
- What moves the needle
- The whole thing turns on filling expensive ships at fares above the cost of running them, so the test is whether the fleet commands pricing and full cabins across the cycle, or whether a cruise is just a discretionary trip bought on price. The ships are fixed cost whether they sail empty or full, a cruise is among the first vacations cut when wallets tighten, and the company carries debt with cross-default and cross-acceleration terms the filing itself underlines, so a soft year strains the balance sheet and not merely the income statement; fuel and emissions rules sit on the cost line as a standing claim. The reinvestment question is whether new ships, which cost a great deal to build and finance, earn back more than they take. The record below holds the margins, the returns on capital and the debt.
- Is it a good business?
- Return on capital has sat near the cost of capital (median 9%). By owner earnings: roughly 13% of revenue reaches owners as cash, though it swings. The cycle and the balance sheet decide this one; the worst year tells more than the median, and the rest is in the 10-K.
Drafted from the company's filings and reviewed by hand; every number is shown in full in the sections below.
Where the money comes from
read the 10-K →North America is 66% of revenue, with Europe the other meaningful segment at 32%.
- North America66%$17.6B
- Europe32%$8.5B
- Cruise1%$309M
- Tour and Other1%$241M
From the segment footnote of the company's own 10-K. Shares are of total revenue; the profit bar shows each segment's share of segment operating profit, before unallocated corporate costs.
The record
Ten years of arithmetic, read across the cycle.
The record, 2016–2025
realized figures from each filing · older years to the left| 2016’16 | 2017’17 | 2018’18 | 2019’19 | 2020’20 | 2021’21 | 2022’22 | 2023’23 | 2024’24 | 2025’25 | TTMTTMMay 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | |||||||||||
| $16.4B | $17.5B | $18.9B | $20.8B | $5.6B | $1.9B | $12.2B | $21.6B | $25.0B | $26.6B | $27.3B | RevenueRevenue |
| $7.0B | $7.0B | $7.8B | $7.9B | — | — | $411M | $7.3B | $9.4B | — | $11.4B | Gross profitGross prof. |
| 43% | 40% | 41% | 38% | — | — | 3% | 34% | 38% | — | 42% | Gross marginGross mgn |
| 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 34% | 99% | 21% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 13% | SG&A / revenueSG&A/rev |
| $3.1B | $2.8B | $3.3B | $3.3B | ($8.9B) | ($7.1B) | ($4.4B) | $2.0B | $3.6B | $4.5B | $4.5B | Operating incomeOp. inc. |
| 18.7% | 16.0% | 17.6% | 15.7% | −158.4% | −371.5% | −36.0% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 16.8% | 16.3% | Operating marginOp. mgn |
| $2.8B | $2.7B | $3.2B | $3.1B | ($10.3B) | ($9.5B) | ($6.1B) | ($62M) | $1.9B | $2.8B | — | Pretax incomePretax |
| $2.8B | $2.6B | $3.2B | $3.0B | ($10.2B) | ($9.5B) | ($6.1B) | ($74M) | $1.9B | $2.8B | $3.1B | Net incomeNet inc. |
| -2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | — | — | — | — | -0% | 0% | 1% | Effective tax rateTax rate |
| Cash flow & returns | |||||||||||
| $5.1B | $5.3B | $5.5B | $5.5B | ($6.3B) | ($4.1B) | ($1.7B) | $4.3B | $5.9B | $6.2B | $6.8B | Operating cash flowOp. cash |
| $1.7B | $1.8B | $2.0B | $2.2B | $2.2B | $2.2B | $2.3B | $2.4B | $2.6B | $2.8B | $2.9B | Depreciation & amortizationD&A |
| $562M | $807M | $315M | $279M | $1.6B | $3.0B | $2.0B | $1.9B | $1.4B | $570M | $759M | Working capital & otherWC & other |
| $3.1B | $2.9B | $3.7B | $5.4B | $3.6B | $3.6B | $4.9B | $3.3B | $4.6B | $3.6B | $3.6B | CapexCapex |
| 18.7% | 16.8% | 19.9% | 26.1% | 64.7% | 189.0% | 40.6% | 15.2% | 18.5% | 13.6% | 13.2% | Capex / revenueCapex/rev |
| $3.4B | $3.5B | $3.5B | $3.3B | ($8.5B) | ($6.3B) | ($3.9B) | $1.9B | $3.4B | $3.4B | $3.9B | Owner earningsOwner earn. |
| 20.7% | 19.9% | 18.7% | 15.9% | −152.7% | −332.4% | −32.4% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 14.4% | Owner earnings marginOE mgn |
| $2.1B | $2.4B | $1.8B | $46M | ($9.9B) | ($7.7B) | ($6.6B) | $997M | $1.3B | $2.6B | $3.2B | Free cash flowFCF |
| 12.6% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 0.2% | −177.3% | −404.4% | −54.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 11.7% | Free cash flow marginFCF mgn |
| $977M | $1.1B | $1.4B | $1.4B | $689M | $0 | $0 | — | — | — | $0 | Dividends paidDiv. paid |
| $2.3B | $552M | $1.5B | $603M | $12M | $0 | $0 | — | — | — | — | BuybacksBuybacks |
| ($3.3B) | ($3.1B) | ($3.5B) | ($5.3B) | ($3.2B) | ($3.5B) | ($4.8B) | ($2.8B) | ($4.5B) | ($3.3B) | — | Investing cash flowInv. cash |
| ($2.6B) | ($2.5B) | ($1.5B) | ($655M) | $18.6B | $6.9B | $3.6B | ($5.1B) | ($2.6B) | ($2.2B) | — | Financing cash flowFin. cash |
| ($12M) | $11M | ($1M) | ($9M) | $53M | ($13M) | ($79M) | $17M | ($8M) | $19M | — | Exchange-rate effectFX |
| ($792M) | ($241M) | $574M | ($465M) | $9.2B | ($715M) | ($2.9B) | ($3.6B) | ($1.2B) | $727M | — | Change in cashΔ cash |
| 10% | 8% | 10% | 9% | -18% | -15% | -9% | 4% | 10% | 12% | 12% | ROICROIC |
| 12% | 11% | 13% | 12% | -50% | -78% | -86% | -1% | 21% | 22% | 24% | Return on equityROE |
| 8% | 6% | 7% | 6% | −53% | −78% | −86% | — | — | — | 24% | Retained to equityRetained/eq |
| Balance sheet | |||||||||||
| $603M | $395M | $982M | $518M | $9.5B | $9.1B | $4.0B | $2.4B | $1.2B | $1.9B | $2.2B | Cash & investmentsCash+inv |
| $298M | $312M | $358M | $444M | $273M | $246M | $395M | $556M | $590M | $678M | $633M | ReceivablesReceiv. |
| $322M | $387M | $450M | $427M | $335M | $356M | $428M | $528M | $507M | $505M | $552M | InventoryInvent. |
| $713M | $762M | $730M | $756M | $624M | $797M | $1.1B | $1.2B | $1.1B | $1.2B | $1.2B | Accounts payablePayables |
| ($93M) | ($63M) | $78M | $115M | ($16M) | ($195M) | ($227M) | ($84M) | ($36M) | ($62M) | ($61M) | Operating working capitalOper. WC |
| $1.7B | $1.6B | $2.2B | $2.1B | $10.6B | $10.1B | $7.5B | $5.3B | $3.4B | $4.2B | $4.5B | Current assetsCur. assets |
| $7.1B | $8.8B | $9.2B | $9.1B | $8.7B | $10.4B | $10.6B | $11.5B | $11.6B | $13.1B | $13.4B | Current liabilitiesCur. liab. |
| 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.2× | 1.2× | 1.0× | 0.7× | 0.5× | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.3× | Current ratioCurr. ratio |
| $32.4B | $34.4B | $35.3B | $38.1B | $38.1B | $38.1B | $38.7B | $40.1B | $41.8B | $43.5B | — | Net PP&ENet PP&E |
| $2.9B | $3.0B | $2.9B | $2.9B | $807M | $579M | $579M | $579M | $579M | $579M | $579M | GoodwillGoodwill |
| $38.9B | $40.8B | $42.4B | $45.1B | $53.6B | $53.3B | $51.7B | $49.1B | $49.1B | $51.7B | $52.2B | Total assetsAssets |
| $9.5B | $9.2B | $10.4B | $11.6B | $27.6B | $34.0B | $35.6B | $31.3B | $28.2B | $27.4B | $25.6B | Total debtDebt |
| $8.9B | $8.9B | $9.4B | $11.1B | $18.1B | $24.8B | $31.6B | $28.9B | $27.0B | $25.5B | $23.3B | Net debt / (cash)Net debt |
| 13.8× | 14.2× | 17.1× | 15.9× | -9.9× | -4.4× | -2.7× | 0.9× | 2.0× | 3.3× | 3.7× | Interest coverageInt. cov. |
| $22.6B | $24.2B | $24.4B | $25.4B | $20.6B | $12.1B | $7.1B | $6.9B | $9.3B | $12.3B | $13.0B | Shareholders’ equityEquity |
| 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.9% | 6.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | Stock comp / revenueSBC/rev |
| — | $38M | — | — | $2.1B | $226M | — | — | — | — | — | Goodwill written downGW imp. |
| Per share | |||||||||||
| 747M | 725M | 710M | 692M | 775M | 1.12B | 1.18B | 1.26B | 1.40B | 1.40B | 1.39B | Shares out (diluted)Shares |
| $21.94 | $24.15 | $26.59 | $30.09 | $7.22 | $1.70 | $10.31 | $17.11 | $17.90 | $18.99 | $19.65 | Revenue / shareRev/sh |
| $3.72 | $3.59 | $4.44 | $4.32 | $-13.21 | $-8.46 | $-5.16 | $-0.06 | $1.37 | $1.97 | $2.21 | EPS (diluted)EPS |
| $4.55 | $4.79 | $4.97 | $4.79 | $-11.02 | $-5.65 | $-3.34 | $1.51 | $2.41 | $2.45 | $2.83 | Owner earnings / shareOE/sh |
| $2.77 | $3.28 | $2.54 | $0.07 | $-12.80 | $-6.87 | $-5.60 | $0.79 | $0.93 | $1.86 | $2.30 | Free cash flow / shareFCF/sh |
| $1.31 | $1.50 | $1.91 | $2.00 | $0.89 | $0.00 | $0.00 | — | — | — | $0.00 | Dividends / shareDiv/sh |
| $4.10 | $4.06 | $5.28 | $7.85 | $4.67 | $3.21 | $4.19 | $2.60 | $3.31 | $2.58 | $2.59 | Cap. spending / shareCapex/sh |
| $30.25 | $33.40 | $34.43 | $36.65 | $26.52 | $10.81 | $5.99 | $5.45 | $6.62 | $8.76 | $9.33 | Book value / shareBVPS |
The diluted share count moved ×1.45 into 2021 — shares issued, not a split the totals corroborate — and the per-share figures carry the counts as filed.
| 9-yr | 5-yr | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue / share | −1.6%/yr | +21.3%/yr |
| Owner earnings / share | −6.7%/yr | — |
| EPS | −6.8%/yr | — |
| Capital spending / share | −5.0%/yr | −11.2%/yr |
| Book value / share | −12.9%/yr | −19.9%/yr |
The year, in the company's words
the filing →Verbatim from the 10-K's management discussion. Each sentence is shown only because its subject, direction, and stated figures check out against the filed numbers on this page. The words are the company's; the arithmetic is the record's.
- Passenger ticket+5.8%
“Passenger ticket revenues increased by $956 million, or 5.8%, to $17.4 billion in 2025 from $16.5 billion in 2024. This increase was caused by: •$635 million - higher ticket prices driven by continued strength in demand •$196 million - net favorable foreign currency translation impact •$159 million - 1.0% capacity increase in ALBDs These increases were partially offset by a decrease of $74 million in air transportation revenue.”
✓ figure matches the filed record
Where the cash went
ReinvestBuybacksDividendsAcquisitionsRetainedEach year's operating cash, by what management did with it: the mix, and how it drifts.
Net income is the accountant's number; owner earnings is the cash an owner could take out. The walk between them, off the cash-flow statement, and whether the gap is widening or holding.
In fiscal 2025 the business earned $3.4B of owner earnings, the operating cash left after the $2.8B it takes just to hold its position. It put $821M more into growth; free cash flow, after that spending, was $2.6B.
| FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported net income | $2.8B | $1.9B | ($74M) | ($6.1B) | ($9.5B) |
| Depreciation & amortizationnon-cash charge added back | +$2.8B | +$2.6B | +$2.4B | +$2.3B | +$2.2B |
| Stock-based compensationreal costnon-cash, but a real cost | +$98M | +$62M | +$53M | +$101M | +$121M |
| Working capital & othertiming of cash in and out, other non-cash items | +$570M | +$1.4B | +$1.9B | +$2.0B | +$3.0B |
| Cash from operations | $6.2B | $5.9B | $4.3B | ($1.7B) | ($4.1B) |
| Maintenance capital expenditurethe spending needed just to hold position and volume | −$2.8B | −$2.6B | −$2.4B | −$2.3B | −$2.2B |
| Owner earnings | $3.4B | $3.4B | $1.9B | ($3.9B) | ($6.3B) |
| Growth capital expenditurediscretionary; spent to get bigger, not to stand still | −$821M | −$2.1B | −$914M | −$2.7B | −$1.4B |
| Free cash flow | $2.6B | $1.3B | $997M | ($6.6B) | ($7.7B) |
| Owner-earnings marginowner earnings ÷ revenue | 13% | 13% | 9% | -32% | -332% |
Owner earnings is the cash an owner could pull out without starving the business: operating cash less the maintenance capital it must spend to hold its position (here about $2.8B, roughly its depreciation, the rate its assets wear out). The other $821M of its capital spending is growth it chose, not upkeep it owed; charged only with the maintenance it must do, the business earns well more than the year's free cash flow shows. The cash-flow statement also adds stock comp back as non-cash, but it is a real cost paid in shares; counted as the expense it is (less $98M), owner earnings is nearer $3.3B.
Maintenance capex is estimated as depreciation where a growing business invests above it; free cash flow is the figure the scorecard's free-cash margin reads.
Quality & stewardship
Returns, the balance sheet, capital allocation, and pay.
Owner’s Scorecard
Will it survive?
- AdequateOperating income $4.5B ÷ interest expense $1.3B
What this means
Comfortable in a normal year, but below the margin of safety Graham looked for. Worth checking how stable the coverage has been across a full cycle.
- How heavy is the debt, net of cash? $25.5B · 5.7× operating profitHeavy net debtCash $1.9B − debt $27.4B
What this means
Netting $1.9B of cash and short-term investments against $27.4B of debt leaves $25.5B owed, about 5.7× a year's operating profit (6.1× on the gross debt, before the cash). Net debt is the leverage figure that matters: the cash is already set against the debt. Strategic or illiquid investments aren't counted here.
- Not enough data
What this means
The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.
Is it a good business?
- Solid through the cycle10-yr median, range -18%–12%; 12% latest = NOPAT $4.5B ÷ invested capital $37.7BIndustry peers: median 7%
What this means
The rate the business earns on the money tied up in it, Buffett's north star, because over time a stock tracks the ROIC beneath it. Above ~15% sustained hints at a moat; a return below the cost of capital (~8%) erodes value as a business grows rather than building it — the test Buffett weighs most. The headline is the median of the last 10 years (it ran 12% most recently), so one peak or trough year doesn't set the verdict. Asset-light businesses (R&D expensed, little capital) read artificially high, pair this with Owner Earnings.
- Solid through the cycle10-yr median margin, range -332%–21%; latest $3.4B = operating cash $6.2B − maintenance capex $2.8BIndustry peers: median 11%
What this means
What an owner could take out without starving the business: operating cash less the maintenance capital it must spend to hold its position — Buffett's owner earnings. That's 13% of revenue this year, a 13% median across 10 years. It chose to put $821M more into growth, so free cash flow this year was $2.6B — the gap is investment, not weakness. Treating stock comp as the real expense it is (less $98M of SBC) leaves $3.3B.
- Cash-backedCash from ops $6.2B ÷ net income $2.8B
What this means
How much of reported profit showed up as operating cash. Above 1× is reassuring; well below suggests earnings lean on accruals. One year is noisy, growth and working-capital swings distort it, and this is operating cash, not free cash. Watch the multi-year trend.
How is the cash used?
- Not enough data
What this means
The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.
- Investing or harvesting? 1.29×ExpandingCapex $3.6B ÷ depreciation & amortization as filed $2.8B
What this means
Descriptive, not a grade. Above ~1× means investing faster than assets wear out (growth, or, sustained for years, today's earnings carrying less depreciation than tomorrow's will). Below means spending less than it's wearing out (efficiency, or a melting asset base). The ratio won't tell you which; the filings will.
The promise and the pay packet
- Is the buyback buying ownership, or mopping up? 0.4%The count is risingStock compensation $98M (fiscal 2025), 0.4% of revenue · no repurchases · diluted shares +18.8% since 2022
What this means
Stock handed to employees is a real cost paid in the owner's own currency: it is charged against profit, but the shares it creates are permanent. Many companies repurchase stock at the same time, which looks like a return of capital and often is not — if the count barely moves, the cash merely cancelled the pay packet and bought the owner nothing. The three states worth telling apart are a count genuinely shrinking, a count standing still despite large repurchases, and a count rising because the issuance was never offset at all.
Graham’s defensive tests · 1 of 6 met
Graham’s numerical criteria for the defensive investor (The Intelligent Investor, ch. 14), run on the filings. A floor of safety, not a buy signal; many fine modern businesses fail his strictest liquidity rules by design.
- Adequate size PassRevenue ≥ $2B · $26.6B
What this means
Big enough to weather a storm. Graham's 1972 floor was ~$100M of sales (≈ $700M today); we use a $2B revenue line as a conservative modern stand-in.
- Strong liquidity MissCurrent ratio ≥ 2× · 0.32×
What this means
Current assets at least twice current liabilities, near-term bills covered without touching the business. Strict by design: many cash-rich modern firms run leaner and miss it, holding their cushion in longer-dated securities.
- Conservative debt MissDebt ≤ working capital · $27.4B vs ($8.9B) WC
What this means
Graham's rule that borrowings not exceed net current assets. Capital-heavy and buyback-heavy firms routinely fail it, read it next to interest coverage, not alone.
- Earnings stability MissA profit every year (10-yr record) · 4 loss years
What this means
Graham wanted earnings in each of the past ten years, the stability a defensive owner leans on.
- Dividend record MissUninterrupted dividends · 5 of 10 yrs
What this means
An unbroken dividend was Graham's mark of durability. He wanted twenty years; the filings show about ten, and a single suspension breaks the streak. Non-payers, many fine modern compounders, fall outside his defensive net by design.
- Earnings growth MissEarnings +33% over the record · −46%
What this means
At least a third more earnings than a decade ago, averaging three years at each end. Net income (not per-share), so stock splits don't distort it, buybacks and dilution show up in the share-count line instead.
- Moderate price —P/E ≤ 15 and P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5 · decided by the price
What this means
Graham's valuation gate, the wall he kept between a sound business and a sound investment. Three-year average earnings are $1.12/share (latest year $2.02), the averaged base the calculator's gate runs on, and book value is $8.97/share. Enter a price in “What the price implies” just below for the P/E, P/B, and whether it clears. But this is the rule Buffett outgrew: there's no hard P/E law, and a wonderful business can deserve a far richer multiple if the thesis holds, treat it as the bargain-hunter's floor, not a verdict on the price.
Durability & moat, 2016–2025
Whether the record’s returns held, and what the capital reinvested earned.
- Profitable years 6 of 10
What this means
Lost money in 4 year(s), look at what happened there before trusting the average.
- Return on capital ≥ 15% 0 of 10 yrs
What this means
A moat shows up as a high return on invested capital that holds year after year, not one good vintage.
- Operating margin 17% → 13% (3-yr avg ends)
What this means
The recent-years average (13%) sits below the early years (17%), but the latest year (17%) is back near the early level: a cyclical trough dragging the window down, not a one-way slide. The through-cycle median is 14% — read it across the cycle, not on the dip.
- Reinvestment, incremental ROIC returns capital
What this means
The capital base barely grew: this business returns cash through dividends and buybacks rather than reinvesting. Judge it on the cash returned, not on compounding.
- Owner earnings growth −0%/yr
What this means
Owner earnings shrank about 0% a year over the record.
- Worst year 2021 · −371.5% op. margin
What this means
Operations went underwater in 2021, understand why before trusting the good years.
- Dividend record paid
What this means
Paid a dividend in 5 of the years on record.
- How management talks about it Owner’s terms
What this means
Returns have thinned, but the filing discusses it in an owner’s vocabulary rather than selling past it — candor about a hard stretch counts for more than an adjective.
All figures as filed; the source filing is linked above.
Current Position
as of the latest quarter, May 31, 2026Can the business pay what it owes this year, off the freshest balance sheet: the quality of the assets, the debt actually coming due, and what a low ratio means here.
- Cash & short-term investments$2.2B
- Receivables$633M
- Inventory$552M
- Other current assets$1.1B
- Debt due within a year$1.5B
- Accounts payable$1.2B
- Other current liabilities$10.7B
Its current ratio is below 1, which usually reads as strain; here it is likely structural strength. What it owes in the near term is money to suppliers and customers (payables and deferred revenue), not to lenders, so the balance sheet is funded by operating float, the way Costco's and Amazon's are. The low ratio can be the edge, not the risk; the cash-conversion cycle and the debt due above say which.
From the company's latest filing.
How the cash was used, 2016–2025
Over the record, the business generated $25.8B of operating cash; how management split it reads as a reinvestor, most operating cash is plowed back into the business.
- Reinvested$38.9B · 151%
- Dividends$5.5B · 21%
- Buybacks$5.0B · 19%
- Returned to owners$10.5B
291% of the owner earnings the business produced over the span, $5.5B as dividends and $5.0B as buybacks.
- Source of funding−$23.5B
Reinvestment and shareholder returns ran $23.5B beyond the operating cash the business generated, so the gap was financed off the balance sheet: debt rose from $9.5B to $25.6B.
- Average price paid for buybacks—
Buybacks ran $5.0B over the span, but the filings don't tag the share count needed to deduce the average price paid.
- Net change in share count86.1%
The diluted count rose from 747M to 1390M: issuance (stock pay, deals) outran any buybacks, so owners were diluted on net.
- Dividend record$0.00/sh
Paid in 5 of the years on record. It was cut at least once along the way.
Buybacks are gross of stock issued to staff; the share-count line above is the net of that, the figure that decides whether owners gained. The average price paid blends a year of purchases (and any accelerated repurchase), so it is close, not exact. The record of where the cash went and on what terms.
Acquisitions & goodwill
from the balance sheet & the 10-year cash-flow recordGoodwill grows only when a company acquires and falls only when it concedes it overpaid. The size of that bet, the cash put into buying rather than building, and how much has already been written off.
$2.4B written down across 3 years (2017, 2020, 2021): goodwill the company has already conceded it overpaid for, charged against earnings. A write-down costs no cash (the cash went out when the deal was signed), but it is management marking its own past judgment to market.
Goodwill, acquired intangibles and equity from the latest balance sheet; acquisition spend summed across the company's full tagged history, write-downs across the 10-year record, from the company's own filings.
Management, ownership & pay
read the proxy →From the proxy: how much of the business the people running it own, and how they are paid, beside what the business earned for its owners in the same years.
| Fiscal year | Chief executive | Pay, as filed | “Actually paid” | Owner earnings |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Josh Weinstein | $15.1M | $11.2M | ($6.3B) |
| 2022 | Josh Weinstein | $8.0M | $7.9M | ($3.9B) |
| 2022 | Josh Weinstein | $11.1M | $5.8M | ($3.9B) |
| 2023 | Josh Weinstein | $13.8M | $23.3M | $1.9B |
| 2024 | Josh Weinstein | $23.6M | $63.8M | $3.4B |
| 2025 | Josh Weinstein | $18.9M | $37.1M | $3.4B |
Both pay figures are the company’s own, from the pay-versus-performance table its proxy statement files. “As filed” is the Summary Compensation Table total: salary, bonus, and equity awards at their value on the day of grant. “Actually paid” is the SEC’s prescribed recalculation, which re-marks those equity awards to what they became as they vested; it can swing far above or below the filed figure in either direction, and negative years occur. Owner earnings are the whole business's, from the record above, for the same fiscal years.
- Insider ownership<1%
The stake all directors and executive officers hold together, per the 2026 proxy: skin in the game, the first thing Munger reads.
- CEO pay ratio1,063:1
What the chief earns for every dollar the median employee makes, per the 2026 proxy. A high ratio alone settles nothing; some businesses are genuinely top-heavy in scarce skill. A runaway figure is where Buffett starts asking whether the board is doing its job.
- Stock-based compensation$98M
The slice of the business handed to employees in shares in fiscal 2025, 0.4% of revenue, equal to 2.2% of operating profit. Buffett's oldest accounting fight: this is compensation, compensation is an expense, real whether or not the headline earnings admit it. One trap: the cash-flow statement adds SBC back, so the operating cash, and the owner earnings drawn from it, are flattered by exactly this amount; counted as the cost it is, what an owner keeps is lower.
Peers, Cruise Lines
The same industry, side by side on owner economics. Each column names the period it is read over; the group median at the foot is the line to read each figure against.
| Company | Revenuelatest FY, USD | Gross marginmedian over the record | Op. marginmedian over the record | ROICmedian over the record | Owner earn. marginmedian over the record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CCLCarnival Corp. | $26.6B | 38% | 15.0% | 9% | 13% |
| RCLRoyal Caribbean Cruises | $17.9B | 44% | 19.4% | 7% | 22% |
| NCLHNorwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. | $9.8B | 38% | 15.7% | 9% | 11% |
| LINDLindblad Expeditions Holdings Inc. | $771M | 45% | 3.7% | 6% | 7% |
| Group median | — | 41% | 15.3% | 8% | 12% |
The price
What a price has to assume.
What the price implies
reverse-DCFType today's close and see the owner-earnings growth you'd have to believe to justify it, beside what Carnival Corp. has delivered.
Through the cycle, Carnival Corp. earns about $3.9B on its 14.7% median owner-earnings margin. This year’s 12.9% margin runs in line with that. Normalize, below, values the price on that through-cycle figure rather than the latest year.
—
9.0% = the 4.71% 10-year Treasury (Aug 18, 2026) + 4.29 points of equity premium. The rate you require is yours to set.
Enter a price above to run it.
A dated snapshot of the price you typed, the assumptions you set, and what the page showed for them. A snapshot is never edited after it is saved. Your notebook is yours alone — the commitment states what is stored and what we will never do.
Graham capped the multiple at 15×; Buffett and Munger let that rule go: a wonderful business can deserve 50× if the thesis holds. The gate marks the bargain-hunter's floor.
Prefilled with the 10-year Treasury (4.71%, as of Aug 18, 2026). Edit it for today’s exact figure, or a AAA corporate yield.
Graham measured a stock against the bond you could own instead, the heart of his margin of safety. Enter a price above to weigh the owner-earnings yield against this bond.
Free cash flow $3.2B on 1370M shares outstanding, per the 10-Q cover, as of 2026-06-19; net debt $23.3B. The base is the latest year by default; Normalize values it on the through-cycle median owner-earnings margin (to avoid paying on a peak year). Net of stock comp treats option pay as the expense it is. Capex ($3.6B) runs well above depreciation ($2.9B), so this is a build-out; Steady-state swaps total capex for maintenance (≈ depreciation), lifting the base to about $4.0B, the cash it would throw off if it stopped expanding. The dials set the multiple a growth belief justifies; the price, and every dollar on this page, is yours.
Manual order: ← CCK its page in the Manual CCNE →
Industry order: the Cruise Lines chapter LIND →