SYM, Symbotic Inc.

Will it survive?

• Can it pay its interest? —
  No meaningful interest burden
  Little or no interest expense reported
  What this means

  Little or no interest expense reported, the business isn't leaning on lenders to operate.

• How heavy is the debt, net of cash? +$1.2B
  Net cash, debt-free
  Cash $1.2B − debt $0
  What this means

  Cash and short-term investments exceed every dollar of debt by $1.2B, on net the company owes nothing, and can act from strength when others can't. Net debt is the leverage figure that matters: the cash is already set against the debt. Strategic or illiquid investments aren't counted here.

• How long is cash tied up? 6d
  Tight
  DSO 30 + DIO 33 − DPO 57 days
  What this means

  Days cash is tied up between paying suppliers and collecting from customers. Lower is better; a long cycle means growth itself eats cash.

Is it a good business?

• Return on invested capital —
  Not enough data
  Industry peers: median 10%
  What this means

  The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.

• Owner-earnings margin —
  Not enough data
  Industry peers: median 13%
  What this means

  The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.

• Are earnings backed by cash? $867M
  Loss, but cash-generative
  Net income ($17M) · cash from operations $867M
  What this means

  The company reported a net loss, so a conversion ratio isn't meaningful. What matters then is whether operations still threw off cash, here, they did.

How is the cash used?

• Where do the earnings go? —
  Not enough data
  What this means

  The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.

• Investing or harvesting? —
  Not enough data
  What this means

  The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.

The promise and the pay packet

• How much of next year is already sold? 120%
  Next year is essentially contracted
  Contracted and not yet earned $22.5B, of which the filing expects 12% within twelve months = $2.7B against revenue of $2.2B
  What this means

  Remaining performance obligations are revenue the customer has committed to and the company has not yet earned — the nearest thing a software business has to an insurer's float. The headline total is a duration figure and can mislead badly on its own, because a contract signed for seven years counts the same as one signed for one. What matters is the part the filing itself expects to recognise within twelve months, shown here against a year of revenue. Where a company does not tag that band, both figures are withheld rather than shown half-told.

• Is the buyback buying ownership, or mopping up? 8.2%
  Stock pay, share count unread
  Stock compensation $184M (fiscal 2025), 8.2% of revenue · no repurchases · the share count is not comparable across these years (a split or a first listing sits in the record), so the drift is withheld
  What this means

  Stock handed to employees is a real cost paid in the owner's own currency: it is charged against profit, but the shares it creates are permanent. Many companies repurchase stock at the same time, which looks like a return of capital and often is not — if the count barely moves, the cash merely cancelled the pay packet and bought the owner nothing. The three states worth telling apart are a count genuinely shrinking, a count standing still despite large repurchases, and a count rising because the issuance was never offset at all.

Graham’s defensive tests · 1 of 3 met

Graham’s numerical criteria for the defensive investor (The Intelligent Investor, ch. 14), run on the filings. A floor of safety, not a buy signal; many fine modern businesses fail his strictest liquidity rules by design.

• Adequate size Pass
  Revenue ≥ $2B · $2.2B
  What this means

  Big enough to weather a storm. Graham's 1972 floor was ~$100M of sales (≈ $700M today); we use a $2B revenue line as a conservative modern stand-in.

• Strong liquidity Miss
  Current ratio ≥ 2× · 1.09×
  What this means

  Current assets at least twice current liabilities, near-term bills covered without touching the business. Strict by design: many cash-rich modern firms run leaner and miss it, holding their cushion in longer-dated securities.

• Earnings stability Miss
  A profit every year (6-yr record) · 6 loss years
  What this means

  Graham wanted earnings in each of the past ten years, the stability a defensive owner leans on.

• Dividend record —
  Uninterrupted dividends · no dividend line tagged in the data
  What this means

  An unbroken dividend was Graham's mark of durability. This record carries no dividends-paid line in any year — common for partnerships, whose distributions file under tags the chain doesn't read — so the criterion is withheld rather than judged on silence.

• Earnings growth —
  Earnings +33% over the record · —
  What this means

  Earnings were negative early in the record, a growth rate isn't meaningful.

• Moderate price —
  P/E ≤ 15 and P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5 · decided by the price
  What this means

  Graham's valuation gate, the wall he kept between a sound business and a sound investment. Three-year average earnings are $-0.15/share (latest year $-0.14), the averaged base the calculator's gate runs on, and book value is $1.80/share. Enter a price in “What the price implies” just below for the P/E, P/B, and whether it clears. But this is the rule Buffett outgrew: there's no hard P/E law, and a wonderful business can deserve a far richer multiple if the thesis holds, treat it as the bargain-hunter's floor, not a verdict on the price.

Durability & moat, 2020–2025

Whether the record’s returns held, and what the capital reinvested earned.

• Profitable years 0 of 6
  What this means

  Lost money in 6 year(s), look at what happened there before trusting the average.

• Operating margin −64% → −10% (3-yr avg ends)

  In the filing’s words The record and the words agree: the margin widened and the filing attributes the gain to its own pricing, not volume alone.

  What this means

  Through the cycle the operating margin widened — about −64% early to −10% lately, median −24% — pricing power intact or improving.

• Worst year 2020 · −119.9% op. margin
  What this means

  Operations went underwater in 2020, understand why before trusting the good years.