Owner Scorecard


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NWN, Northwest Natural

Gas Utilities capital-intensive Regulated utility

A regulated utility, earning a set return on the capital it sinks into its network.

NW Natural distributes natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers in Oregon and southwest Washington.

Prior to the first quarter of 2025, NW Natural's natural gas distribution activities were reported in the natural gas distribution (NGD) segment.

Latest annual: FY2025 10-K
NWN · Northwest Natural
I

The business

What it sells, where the money comes from, the kind of company it is.

Revenue · FY2025
$1.3B
+11.8% YoY · 11% 5-yr CAGR
Vital signs · TTM, with 5-yr average
Revenue $1.3B 5-yr avg $1.1B
Operating margin 22.8% 5-yr avg 17.8%
ROIC 6% 5-yr avg 5%
Owner-earnings margin 3% 5-yr avg 7%
Free cash flow margin −21% 5-yr avg −14%

Next report Est. 11/2–11/6 · the 10-Q for the quarter ended late September · due within 40 days of period end · has filed ~36 days after · the wire records it on arrival

The business in brief

read the 10-K →

What this business is and what moves its needle, from its own SEC filings.

Situation
Regulated utility. Returns are set by regulation on an approved rate base; the capital spending regulators approve becomes the growth, recovered through allowed rates.
What moves the needle
Operating margin has run about 19% through the cycle, a solid margin the cost base and competition set as much as the price does. That margin has stayed fairly steady relative to where it runs (15%–23% over the years), so unit growth and cost discipline, not a moving line, are the lever. Capital spending runs about 30% of sales, well above depreciation, so the return earned on what it sinks into that plant weighs as much as the margin. Read this kind of business on rate base and the allowed return. On its own account, the filing leans hardest on concentrated dependence, set against the numbers in what the filing emphasizes, below.
Is it a good business?
Return on capital has rarely cleared the cost of capital (median 6%, above 15% in 0 of 10 years). By owner earnings: roughly 10% of revenue reaches owners as cash, consistently. Modest returns here are the design, not a verdict: a regulated utility's prices are set by commission, so the questions are the return the regulator allows, how fast the invested base it earns that return on is growing, and the health of the relationship with the commissions that decide both — all of which live in the 10-K, not the multiple.

Every line is arithmetic on the company's filings, shown in full in the sections below.

II

The record

Ten years of arithmetic, read across the cycle.

The record, 2016–2025

realized figures from each filing · older years to the left
2016’162017’172018’182019’192020’202021’212022’222023’232024’242025’25TTMTTMJun 2026
Income statement
$668M$755M$706M$746M$774M$860M$1.0B$1.2B$1.2B$1.3B$1.3BRevenueRevenue
$151M$151M$132M$143M$148M$163M$167M$185M$191M$281M$295MOperating incomeOp. inc.
22.6%20.0%18.7%19.2%19.2%19.0%16.1%15.4%16.6%21.8%22.8%Operating marginOp. mgn
$105M$113M$92M$78M$91M$106M$115MPretax incomePretax
$59M($56M)$65M$62M$77M$79M$86M$94M$79M$113M$126MNet incomeNet inc.
41%36%26%16%23%26%25%26%28%27%25%Effective tax rateTax rate
Cash flow & returns
$222M$207M$169M$186M$145M$160M$148M$280M$200M$269M$213MOperating cash flowOp. cash
$78M$81M$85M$91M$104M$114M$117M$126M$138M$166M$172MDepreciation & amortizationD&A
$86M$181M$19M$33M($35M)($32M)($55M)$61M($16M)($10M)($85M)Working capital & otherWC & other
$138M$213M$215M$223M$273M$294M$339M$327M$394M$467M$479MCapexCapex
20.7%28.3%30.4%29.9%35.3%34.2%32.6%27.3%34.2%36.2%37.1%Capex / revenueCapex/rev
$145M$126M$84M$95M$42M$47M$31M$154M$62M$104M$41MOwner earningsOwner earn.
21.6%16.6%11.8%12.7%5.4%5.4%3.0%12.9%5.4%8.0%3.2%Owner earnings marginOE mgn
$84M($7M)($46M)($37M)($128M)($134M)($191M)($47M)($194M)($198M)($266M)Free cash flowFCF
12.5%−0.9%−6.5%−5.0%−16.5%−15.5%−18.4%−4.0%−16.8%−15.3%−20.6%Free cash flow marginFCF mgn
$0$873K$57M$38M$1M$94M$8M$30M$338M$7MAcquisitionsAcquis.
$52M$54M$51M$53M$55M$56M$63M$67M$73M$77M$79MDividends paidDiv. paid
$1M$2M$0$0BuybacksBuybacks
($137M)($214M)($217M)($304M)($294M)($300M)($435M)($335M)($429M)($809M)Investing cash flowInv. cash
($86M)$7M$58M$115M$172M$131M$302M$64M$227M$533MFinancing cash flowFin. cash
($690K)($49K)$9M($3M)$23M($8M)$14M$9M($2M)($7M)Change in cashΔ cash
10%8%6%7%6%6%5%5%4%5%6%ROICROIC
7%-7%8%7%9%8%7%7%6%8%8%Return on equityROE
1%−15%2%1%2%2%2%2%0%2%3%Retained to equityRetained/eq
Balance sheet
$4M$3M$13M$10M$30M$19M$29M$33M$38M$37M$24MCash & investmentsCash+inv
$111M$116M$113M$98M$133M$181M$145M$133M$176M$136MAccounts payablePayables
$270M$296M$294M$323M$437M$744M$601M$558M$603M$499MCurrent assetsCur. assets
$382M$509M$482M$627M$725M$899M$697M$649M$836M$647MCurrent liabilitiesCur. liab.
0.7×0.6×0.6×0.5×0.6×0.8×0.9×0.9×0.7×0.8×Current ratioCurr. ratio
$2.2B$2.4B$2.4B$2.7B$2.9B$3.1B$3.4B$3.7B$4.4BNet PP&ENet PP&E
$402M$414M$385M$381M$387M$458M$512M$513M$568MRegulatory assetsReg. assets
$620M$659M$670M$690M$771M$938M$781M$846M$896MRegulatory liabilitiesReg. liab.
$0$9M$50M$69M$71M$149M$163M$184M$371M$372MGoodwillGoodwill
$3.0B$3.2B$3.4B$3.8B$4.1B$4.7B$4.9B$5.2B$6.2B$6.4BTotal assetsAssets
$780M$736M$881M$955M$1.0B$1.3B$1.6B$1.7B$2.4B$2.5BTotal debtDebt
$776M$724M$871M$925M$1.0B$1.3B$1.5B$1.7B$2.4B$2.5BNet debt / (cash)Net debt
$850M$743M$763M$866M$889M$935M$1.2B$1.3B$1.4B$1.5B$1.6BShareholders’ equityEquity
Per share
27.8M28.8M28.9M29.9M30.6M30.8M34.0M36.3M38.9M41.0M42.0MShares out (diluted)Shares
$24.05$26.26$24.46$25.00$25.28$27.98$30.52$33.02$29.66$31.48$30.77Revenue / shareRev/sh
$2.12$-1.93$2.24$2.07$2.51$2.56$2.54$2.59$2.03$2.77$3.00EPS (diluted)EPS
$5.20$4.37$2.90$3.17$1.36$1.52$0.91$4.26$1.60$2.53$0.99Owner earnings / shareOE/sh
$3.02$-0.23$-1.59$-1.25$-4.17$-4.34$-5.62$-1.31$-4.99$-4.83$-6.33Free cash flow / shareFCF/sh
$1.85$1.88$1.78$1.79$1.81$1.82$1.85$1.86$1.87$1.89$1.88Dividends / shareDiv/sh
$4.98$7.42$7.43$7.48$8.92$9.56$9.96$9.03$10.15$11.40$11.41Cap. spending / shareCapex/sh
$30.62$25.83$26.41$29.00$29.04$30.41$34.59$35.40$35.64$36.02$37.11Book value / shareBVPS
Per-share growththe realized rate an owner's share compounded
9-yr5-yr
Revenue / share+3.0%/yr+4.5%/yr
Owner earnings / share−7.7%/yr+13.2%/yr
EPS+3.0%/yr+2.0%/yr
Dividends / share+0.2%/yr+0.8%/yr
Capital spending / share+9.6%/yr+5.0%/yr
Book value / share+1.8%/yr+4.4%/yr

Where the cash went

ReinvestBuybacksDividendsAcquisitionsRetainedBeyond op. cash

Each year's outlays against its operating cash: the mix, and how it drifts. The hatched cap is spending beyond that year's operating cash — financed from the balance sheet or borrowing, not operations.

FY2016FY2025

Net income is the accountant's number; owner earnings is the cash an owner could take out. The walk between them, off the cash-flow statement, and whether the gap is widening or holding.

In fiscal 2025 the business earned $104M of owner earnings, the operating cash left after the $166M it takes just to hold its position. It put $301M more into growth; free cash flow, after that spending, was ($198M).

Reported net income$113M
Owner earnings$104M · 8% of revenue
FY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022FY2021
Reported net income$113M$79M$94M$86M$79M
Depreciation & amortizationnon-cash charge added back+$166M+$138M+$126M+$117M+$114M
Working capital & othertiming of cash in and out, other non-cash items−$10M−$16M+$61M−$55M−$32M
Cash from operations$269M$200M$280M$148M$160M
Maintenance capital expenditurethe spending needed just to hold position and volume−$166M−$138M−$126M−$117M−$114M
Owner earnings$104M$62M$154M$31M$47M
Growth capital expenditurediscretionary; spent to get bigger, not to stand still−$301M−$257M−$202M−$222M−$180M
Free cash flow($198M)($194M)($47M)($191M)($134M)
Owner-earnings marginowner earnings ÷ revenue8%5%13%3%5%

Owner earnings is the cash an owner could pull out without starving the business: operating cash less the maintenance capital it must spend to hold its position (here about $166M, roughly its depreciation, the rate its assets wear out). The other $301M of its capital spending is growth it chose, not upkeep it owed; charged only with the maintenance it must do, the business earns well more than the year's free cash flow shows.

A regulated utility reads differently here. What it spends above depreciation goes into rate base, where the commission lets it earn the allowed return and recover the capital, with interest, over decades — growth that is financed, not taken out of owners' pockets this year. So the truth sits between the bridge's two ends: owner earnings excuses the build-out entirely, free cash flow charges it entirely, and the scorecard's utility-plant figure shows how fast the base earning that return is compounding.

Maintenance capex is estimated as depreciation where a growing business invests above it; free cash flow is the figure the scorecard's free-cash margin reads.

III

Quality & stewardship

Returns, the balance sheet, capital allocation, and pay.

Owner’s Scorecard

FY2025 10-K · source on SEC EDGAR →

The allowed return, earned and credited

  • Below the typical allowed band
    Median over 10 readable years · latest FY2025: 7.7% (net income $113M ÷ equity $1.5B)
    What this means

    A commission caps what a regulated utility may earn on shareholders' capital, so the question is not whether the return is high but whether the company actually earns what it is allowed — persistent under-earning means costs the regulator will not put in rates, and a return above the band usually means unregulated businesses in the mix. Read through the record, because a single year carries rate-case timing noise.

  • AFUDC in earnings
    Not enough data
    What this means

    The equity allowance for funds used during construction is not tagged in this filer's structured data — the construction credit, if any, lives in the 10-K's rate-matters note.

The invested base and the regulatory ledger

  • Net utility plant
    On subsidiary axes only
    What this means

    This filer reports its utility plant only on subsidiary or segment axes that the SEC's structured data drops, so the figure is withheld rather than approximated from consolidated property, which includes what the regulator sets no return on. The property schedule in the 10-K carries it.

  • Regulatory assets & liabilities $568M / $896M
    Owes ratepayers
    Regulatory assets $568M · regulatory liabilities $896M · net $328M liability position, as filed
    What this means

    The ledger of the regulatory relationship: assets are costs the commission has agreed the utility may collect from ratepayers in future rates, liabilities are amounts it must give back. Both are promises whose worth depends entirely on the commissions that made them — which is why they are shown as filed and never netted into earnings adjustments here.

Graham’s defensive tests · 3 of 5 met

Graham’s numerical criteria for the defensive investor (The Intelligent Investor, ch. 14), run on the filings. A floor of safety, not a buy signal; many fine modern businesses fail his strictest liquidity rules by design.

  • Adequate size Near
    Revenue ≥ $2B · $1.3B
    What this means

    Big enough to weather a storm. Graham's 1972 floor was ~$100M of sales (≈ $700M today); we use a $2B revenue line as a conservative modern stand-in.

  • Strong liquidity
    Current ratio ≥ 2× (waived for utilities) · exempt
    What this means

    Graham exempted public utilities from this test: their working capital “takes care of itself” through the continuous bond-and-share financing of growth, so a thin current ratio is the industry's structure, not a warning. His substitute test — debt no more than twice book equity — is the next line.

  • Conservative debt Pass
    Debt ≤ 2× equity (Graham's utility test) · $2.4B vs $1.5B equity
    What this means

    Graham's own substitution for public utilities: debt not exceeding twice the stock equity at book value, in place of the working-capital tests an industrial faces. A utility finances its plant with bonds by design; the question is whether the borrowing stays inside the equity behind it.

  • Earnings stability Near
    A profit every year (10-yr record) · 1 loss year
    What this means

    Graham wanted earnings in each of the past ten years, the stability a defensive owner leans on.

  • Dividend record Pass
    Uninterrupted dividends · paid every year (10)
    What this means

    An unbroken dividend was Graham's mark of durability. He wanted twenty years; the filings show about ten, and a single suspension breaks the streak. Non-payers, many fine modern compounders, fall outside his defensive net by design.

  • Earnings growth Pass
    Earnings +33% over the record · +322%
    What this means

    At least a third more earnings than a decade ago, averaging three years at each end. Net income (not per-share), so stock splits don't distort it, buybacks and dilution show up in the share-count line instead.

  • Moderate price
    P/E ≤ 15 and P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5 · decided by the price
    What this means

    Graham's valuation gate, the wall he kept between a sound business and a sound investment. Three-year average earnings are $2.27/share (latest year $2.69), the averaged base the calculator's gate runs on, and book value is $35.04/share. Enter a price in “What the price implies” just below for the P/E, P/B, and whether it clears. But this is the rule Buffett outgrew: there's no hard P/E law, and a wonderful business can deserve a far richer multiple if the thesis holds, treat it as the bargain-hunter's floor, not a verdict on the price.

Durability & moat, 2016–2025

Whether the record’s returns held, and what the capital reinvested earned.

  • Profitable years 9 of 10
    What this means

    Lost money in 1 year(s), look at what happened there before trusting the average.

  • Return on capital ≥ 15% 0 of 9 yrs
    What this means

    A moat shows up as a high return on invested capital that holds year after year, not one good vintage.

  • Operating margin 20% → 18% (3-yr avg ends)

    In the filing’s words Input costs rose and the filing says it recovered them in price — consistent with the margin holding here.

    What this means

    The recent-years average (18%) sits below the early years (20%), but the latest year (22%) is back near the early level: a cyclical trough dragging the window down, not a one-way slide. The through-cycle median is 19% — read it across the cycle, not on the dip.

  • Reinvestment, incremental ROIC 4%
    What this means

    Reinvested capital came back at only a modest incremental return — near the cost of capital, where extra growth adds little per dollar. The record shows whether it is a soft stretch or a thinning moat.

  • Owner earnings growth −5%/yr
    What this means

    Owner earnings shrank about 5% a year over the record.

  • Worst year 2023 · 15.4% op. margin
    What this means

    Stayed profitable even in its hardest year, the resilience that survives recessions.

  • Share count +4.4%/yr
    What this means

    The share count is rising, dilution works against you on a per-share basis.

  • Dividend record rising
    What this means

    Paid and raised the dividend across the record, the continuity Graham prized.

  • How management talks about it Owner’s terms
    What this means

    Returns have thinned, but the filing discusses it in an owner’s vocabulary rather than selling past it — candor about a hard stretch counts for more than an adjective.

All figures as filed; the source filing is linked above.

Current Position

as of the latest quarter, Jun 30, 2026

Can the business pay what it owes this year, off the freshest balance sheet: the quality of the assets, the debt actually coming due, and what a low ratio means here.

Current assets$499M
  • Cash & short-term investments$24M
  • Other current assets$475M
Current liabilities$647M
  • Debt due within a year$126M
  • Accounts payable$136M
  • Other current liabilities$386M
Current ratio0.77×all current assets ÷ what's due · Graham looked for 2×
Quick ratio0.77×stricter: inventory excluded
Cash ratio0.04×strictest: cash alone against what's due
Working capital($148M)the cushion left after near-term bills
Debt due this year vs. cash$126M due · $24M cash cash alone won't cover the maturities; it leans on refinancing or operating cash · both figures from the Jun 30, 2026 balance sheet
Revenue, latest quarter vs. a year ago+3.1%the freshest read on whether the business is still growing
Current ratio, recent quarters0.7× → 0.8×
Deeper floors
Tangible book value$1.2Bequity stripped of goodwill & intangibles
Debt incl. operating leases$2.6B$78M of it operating leases

From the company's latest filing.

Not how much it owes, but when it falls due, and against what. The ladder the company files, beside cash on hand and a year's owner earnings.

'26$161M
'27$65M
'28$111M
'29$190M
'30$80M
later$1.8B

Bars scaled to the largest single year; “later” is everything due after 2030, shown apart since it dwarfs the years.

Due in the next 12 months$161Mthe first rung: what must be repaid or rolled over within the year
Within two years$226Mthe near wall, the part most exposed to today’s credit conditions
Biggest single year$190Min 2029the lumpiest maturity, where a refinancing, if needed, is largest
Total scheduled principal$2.4Bevery year plus what lies beyond, as the footnote totals it

Against what the business has and earns

Cash & short-term investments, Jun 30, 2026$24M
One year of owner earnings (FY2025)$104M
Together, against $161M due next year0.80×

Cash on hand as of Jun 30, 2026 plus a year’s owner earnings comes to $128M against the $161M due in the twelve months after the Dec 31, 2025 schedule: about 80% of it, so the near maturities lean on refinancing or the rest of the year’s cash.

Maturity schedule extracted from the company’s Dec 31, 2025 annual report and reconciled to the balance-sheet debt.

How the cash was used, 2016–2025

Over the record, the business generated $2.0B of operating cash; how management split it reads as a reinvestor, most operating cash is plowed back into the business.

  • Reinvested$2.9B · 145%
  • Dividends$602M · 30%
  • Buybacks$3M · 0%
  • Returned to owners$605M

    68% of the owner earnings the business produced over the span, $602M as dividends and $3M as buybacks.

  • Source of funding−$1.5B

    Reinvestment and shareholder returns ran $1.5B beyond the operating cash the business generated, so the gap was financed off the balance sheet.

  • Average price paid for buybacks

    Buybacks ran $3M over the span, but the filings don't tag the share count needed to deduce the average price paid.

  • Net change in share count51.2%

    The diluted count rose from 28M to 42M: issuance (stock pay, deals) outran any buybacks, so owners were diluted on net.

  • Dividend record$1.89/sh

    Paid in 10 of the years on record, the per-share dividend growing about 0% a year. It was cut at least once along the way.

  • Return on what it retained

    Not read here: owner earnings are negative over the span, or the company returned nearly all its earnings rather than retaining them, so there is too little retained to measure a return on.

Buybacks are gross of stock issued to staff; the share-count line above is the net of that, the figure that decides whether owners gained. The average price paid blends a year of purchases (and any accelerated repurchase), so it is close, not exact. The record of where the cash went and on what terms.

Management, ownership & pay

read the proxy →

From the proxy: how much of the business the people running it own, and how they are paid, beside what the business earned for its owners in the same years.

Fiscal yearChief executivePay, as filed“Actually paid”Owner earnings
2021Mr. Anderson$3.8M$3.4M$47M
2022Mr. Anderson$3.6M$3.3M$31M
2023Mr. Anderson$3.5M$2.6M$154M
2024Mr. Anderson$4.1M$3.7M$62M
2025Mr. Anderson$576k$1.1M$104M
2025Mr. Palfreyman$3.7M$3.6M$104M

Both pay figures are the company’s own, from the pay-versus-performance table its proxy statement files. “As filed” is the Summary Compensation Table total: salary, bonus, and equity awards at their value on the day of grant. “Actually paid” is the SEC’s prescribed recalculation, which re-marks those equity awards to what they became as they vested; it can swing far above or below the filed figure in either direction, and negative years occur. Owner earnings are the whole business's, from the record above, for the same fiscal years.

  • Insider ownership0.6%

    The stake all directors and executive officers hold together, per the 2026 proxy: skin in the game, the first thing Munger reads.

What an owner would ask, FY2025

read the 10-K →
  • Which reported numbers are a judgment call?
    Management names Revenue recognition, Pension & retirement, Income taxes, Contingencies as critical estimates

    each rests partly on management's judgment; the filing's note sets out the assumptionsverify →

The questions the record and the charts do not answer on their own; each carries the figure and the place to look.

Peers, Gas Utilities

The same industry, side by side on owner economics. Each column names the period it is read over; the group median at the foot is the line to read each figure against.

CompanyRevenuelatest FY, USDROEmedian over the recordPlant growthannualized over the recordDividend / cashmedian over the record
UGIUGI Corporation$7.3B14%10.0%25%
ATOAtmos Energy Corporation$4.7B9%13.2%25%
SRSpire$2.5B8%8.3%29%
OGSONE Gas$2.4B8%7.4%28%
NJRNew Jersey Resources$2.0B12%8.6%39%
SWXSouthwest Gas Holdings$1.9B8%8.6%24%
NWNNorthwest Natural$1.3B7%30%
CPKChesapeake Utilities Corporation$930M11%13.3%20%
Group median9%27%
IV

The price

What a price has to assume.

What the price implies

reverse-DCF

Type today's close and see the owner-earnings growth you'd have to believe to justify it, beside what Northwest Natural has delivered.

Northwest Natural’s latest year shows negative owner earnings, the mark of a build-out: total capital spending outruns the cash the business throws off today. So the tool opens on the steady-state base (maintenance capex in place of the build-out spend), the cash it would earn at rest; clear the toggle below to read the latest year exactly as reported.

$

Through the cycle, Northwest Natural earns about $128M on its 9.9% median owner-earnings margin. This year’s 8.0% margin runs below that; the reported figure may understate a lean year. Normalize, below, values the price on that through-cycle figure rather than the latest year.

Base

The assumptions

9.0% = the 4.65% 10-year Treasury (Aug 19, 2026) + 4.35 points of equity premium. The rate you require is yours to set.

Enter a price above to run it.

Implied by the price
Owner-earnings growth · ’21→’25+21%/yr
Owner-earnings growth · ’16→’25−5%/yr
Owner-earnings yield
P/E (3-yr earnings ’23–’25)
P/B
Graham’s price gate

Graham capped the multiple at 15×; Buffett and Munger let that rule go: a wonderful business can deserve 50× if the thesis holds. The gate marks the bargain-hunter's floor.

Against a high-grade bond: Graham’s yardstick bond yield%

Prefilled with the 10-year Treasury (4.65%, as of Aug 19, 2026). Edit it for today’s exact figure, or a AAA corporate yield.

Graham measured a stock against the bond you could own instead, the heart of his margin of safety. Enter a price above to weigh the owner-earnings yield against this bond.

Free cash flow ($266M) on 42M shares outstanding, per the 10-Q cover, as of 2026-07-28; net debt $2.5B. The base opens on the steady-state figure (the latest year is negative on total capex mid-build-out); clear Steady-state to use the year as filed. Net of stock comp treats option pay as the expense it is. Capex ($479M) runs well above depreciation ($172M), so this is a build-out; Steady-state swaps total capex for maintenance (≈ depreciation), lifting the base to about $48M, the cash it would throw off if it stopped expanding. The dials set the multiple a growth belief justifies; the price, and every dollar on this page, is yours.

Cite: Owner Scorecard, "Northwest Natural (NWN), the owner's record," https://ownerscorecard.com/c/NWN, data as of 2026-08-17.

Manual order: ← NWL its page in the Manual NWPX →

Industry order: ← NJR the Gas Utilities chapter OGS →